According to @ReutersBiz, the Federal Reserve chief issued a semi-warning about elevated U.S. stock market valuations as traders enter the final quarter, highlighting top business and finance stories to watch this week (source: Reuters Business). Given the documented rise in correlation between cryptocurrencies and equities since 2020, Fed signals on valuations can transmit to Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) through risk sentiment and liquidity channels, affecting near-term volatility and trading conditions (source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move with Stocks, 2022; Bank for International Settlements, Quarterly Review 2022).

According to @ReutersBiz, US stocks ended higher after mostly in-line US inflation data (source: Reuters Business). According to @ReutersBiz, the major US indexes nevertheless posted losses for the week (source: Reuters Business).

According to @business, US stocks are extremely expensive versus history, but Bank of America strategists say the S&P 500’s sky-high valuations may be warranted and reflect a new normal rather than a bubble. Source: Bloomberg @business, 2025-09-24. No direct crypto commentary was provided, but traders in risk assets can monitor US equity sentiment as a macro input for positioning. Source: Bloomberg @business, 2025-09-24.

According to @ReutersBiz, U.S. stocks closed lower, ending a three-day streak of record highs, after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said future rate decisions must balance inflation concerns with signs of a weakening job market; Source: @ReutersBiz. This shifts trader focus to upcoming labor and inflation data that could influence rate expectations and risk appetite across equities and crypto, with BTC and ETH in focus for policy-path headline volatility; Source: @ReutersBiz.

According to @CNBC, Goldman Sachs has raised its year-end S&P 500 target, signaling a more constructive stance on U.S. large-cap equities and risk assets (source: @CNBC). Given documented positive equity-crypto co-movement since 2020, an improved SPX outlook can align with supportive conditions for BTC and ETH price action, as shown by IMF (2022) and BIS (2022) research (sources: IMF 2022; BIS 2022). Traders should monitor SPX trend and breadth into year-end because sustained equity strength has historically coincided with stronger crypto beta per cross-asset studies (sources: IMF 2022; BIS 2022).

According to @KobeissiLetter, US annualized tariff revenue has reached $350 billion, up 355% versus 2024, while the S&P 500 has added roughly $16 trillion in market value since April 2025. Source: @KobeissiLetter on X, Sep 21, 2025. Because Bitcoin’s correlation with US equities rose materially in 2020–2022, equity liquidity and momentum shifts tied to such macro updates are relevant inputs for BTC and ETH positioning. Source: International Monetary Fund (Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Stocks), Jan 2022; context: @KobeissiLetter on X, Sep 21, 2025. Near term, traders can watch equity breadth and volatility as cross-asset signals and monitor US trade policy headlines for potential catalysts that may spill over into crypto. Source: International Monetary Fund (Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Stocks), Jan 2022; context: @KobeissiLetter on X, Sep 21, 2025.

According to @business, Chinese households are returning to equities due to a lack of other attractive options, and analysts expect the stock-buying trend to continue through 2026 (source: Bloomberg/@business). For crypto traders, direct spillover into BTC and ETH from mainland savers remains structurally limited because mainland cryptocurrency trading and related services have been banned since September 2021 (source: People’s Bank of China, Notice on Further Preventing and Handling the Risk of Speculation in Virtual Currency, Sept 24, 2021).

According to @KobeissiLetter, the average funding spread, a gauge of institutional demand for long equity exposure via futures, options, and swaps, jumped roughly 20 basis points in recent days to its highest level since December 2024 (source: @KobeissiLetter, Sep 20, 2025). The move followed disappointing non-farm payrolls data two weeks ago, which increased market expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate cuts (source: @KobeissiLetter, Sep 20, 2025). Professional investor positioning has been steadily recovering since April, though the funding spread remains well below the peak seen in November 2024 (source: @KobeissiLetter, Sep 20, 2025). For crypto markets, higher institutional risk appetite in equities has historically coincided with stronger comovement between Bitcoin and stocks since 2020, making this uptick a relevant macro signal for digital assets (source: IMF, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Jan 2022).

According to @CNBC, investors received the rate cut they had been waiting for, and focus now shifts to what can extend the ongoing bull market in equities. source: @CNBC tweet dated Sep 20, 2025 Lower policy rates ease financial conditions and have historically supported risk assets, including stocks and crypto such as BTC and ETH, which have shown increasing co-movement with equities. source: IMF Global Financial Stability Report 2022; IMF analysis on rising crypto equity correlations in 2022 Traders should monitor central bank forward guidance and the reaction of longer term yields, as these directly influence discount rates, valuation multiples, and risk appetite. source: IMF Global Financial Stability Report 2022 For crypto positioning, watching real yields and broader financial conditions is key, as easier conditions have coincided with stronger BTC and ETH performance during past easing phases. source: IMF Global Financial Stability Report 2022

According to @business, US stocks have climbed to record highs, but Bloomberg indicates the economy may be signaling that the rally’s momentum is set to fade. Source: Bloomberg (@business), Sep 20, 2025. This points to elevated near-term risk that equity gains could lose steam, a caution relevant for risk assets where sentiment often hinges on macro strength. Source: Bloomberg (@business), Sep 20, 2025.

According to @business, the prospect of further Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts is restoring guarded optimism in biotechnology stocks after a punishing four years, with any sustained recovery hinging on deeper cuts, source: @business. For equity traders, this indicates the sector’s performance is closely tied to the Fed policy path, making rate-cut expectations a primary driver for positioning, timing, and risk management in high-beta biotech names, source: @business. For crypto participants, the same Fed easing trajectory highlighted by @business remains a key cross-asset macro catalyst to monitor alongside shifts in risk sentiment and liquidity, source: @business.

According to @santimentfeed, the Federal Reserve officially lowered interest rates and traders largely got what they wanted, putting the focus on whether the move was already priced into BTC and broader crypto markets (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, analysis centers on potential further rate cuts and how the policy path could influence risk appetite and year-end sentiment across digital assets (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, heightened social buzz around Trump's Bitcoin statue is being assessed for its impact on market sentiment and positioning (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, traders should monitor post-FOMC price reaction, shifts in sentiment into year-end, and narrative-driven volatility that could affect BTC dominance (source: @santimentfeed).

According to @business, investors are entering the FOMC meeting alert to the hazards of a rate cut while inflation remains a risk and equities appear overvalued, signaling a cautious setup for risk assets, source: @business. For trading, the analysis flags that policy easing in the presence of inflation risk and stretched valuations constitutes a key risk factor that cross-asset traders will monitor into the decision and statement, source: @business. Crypto market participants can use this macro risk context as a reference for positioning and liquidity management around the FOMC window, source: @business.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates three times in 2025. In the prior easing cycle that began on July 31, 2019, the S&P 500 went on to set fresh all-time highs by November 2019, signaling stronger risk appetite, per S&P Dow Jones Indices. Historically, falling policy rates compress real yields and support risk-taking, per Federal Reserve Board policy documentation and U.S. Treasury TIPS data. Looser policy also tends to coincide with a softer U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which has been a tailwind for BTC and ETH in past cycles, per ICE U.S. Dollar Index data and Coin Metrics correlations. For positioning, traders can track 10-year real yields, DXY, and stablecoin net issuance as near-term liquidity gauges, per U.S. Treasury data, ICE benchmarks, and DeFiLlama analytics.

According to @ReutersBiz, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq set intraday record highs and Wall Street closed higher as investors positioned ahead of the Federal Reserve’s crucial policy meeting, signaling a risk-on backdrop into the FOMC; Source: Reuters Business. For crypto traders, the equity strength into the Fed event highlighted by Reuters Business underscores macro sensitivity, so monitor BTC and ETH for potential cross-asset volatility around the rate decision and guidance timeline noted by Reuters Business; Source: Reuters Business.

According to @WhiteHouse, the official account posted the message "MAKE MEMPHIS SAFE AGAIN" on Sep 15, 2025, without any accompanying policy details, funding figures, timelines, or regulatory proposals (Source: @WhiteHouse on X, Sep 15, 2025). According to @WhiteHouse, the post does not announce executive action or legislation, so there is no direct, tradeable catalyst for crypto or equities from this headline alone; traders should wait for concrete policy releases before adjusting positioning (Source: @WhiteHouse on X, Sep 15, 2025).

According to Charlie Bilello, current US equity valuations are exceeded only by the 1999-2000 dot-com period, while the Federal Reserve is now cutting rates rather than hiking as it did then (source: Charlie Bilello X post on Sep 15, 2025; source: his linked YouTube video). He highlights this policy-valuation divergence and openly questions whether it risks forming the biggest bubble, underscoring a critical macro backdrop for traders (source: Charlie Bilello X post on Sep 15, 2025). For crypto positioning, elevated stock valuations and easier policy can transmit to BTC and ETH via the rising post-2020 equity-crypto correlation documented by global authorities (source: IMF Global Financial Stability Report, October 2022).

According to @CNBC, historical market performance is often weak after rate cuts, particularly when the Federal Reserve cuts to stabilize a slowing economy, signaling late-cycle stress rather than a new bull trend for risk assets, which tempers near-term risk-on expectations for traders; source: CNBC. For crypto, cross-asset contagion risk is relevant because Bitcoin and equities became more correlated post-2020, meaning macro-driven equity drawdowns can transmit to BTC and ETH pricing during policy pivots; sources: IMF research (2022) and BIS analysis (2022).

According to QCPgroup, crypto is back on track after last week’s CPI jitters as the print confirmed tariff-led inflation pressures without major surprises, giving risk assets a green light (source: QCPgroup on X, Sep 15, 2025). The update signals a near-term risk-on bias for digital assets during Asia trade with macro focus anchored on inflation and tariffs (source: QCPgroup on X, Sep 15, 2025).

According to @KobeissiLetter, newly released data shows US household net worth jumped by $7.1 trillion in Q2 2025, averaging roughly $79 billion in added net worth per day over the quarter, which the author describes as historic, source: @KobeissiLetter. Traders track household net worth via the Federal Reserve’s Financial Accounts of the United States (Z.1) as a standard gauge of household balance sheets and wealth effects that can influence risk appetite across equities and the crypto market, source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Financial Accounts (Z.1) and @KobeissiLetter. The headline suggests a stronger macro backdrop to monitor for correlations in stock index futures, credit risk proxies, and crypto market liquidity, without implying direction, source: @KobeissiLetter.